Table 5 Summarising the comparison of the model survival estimates with actual survival in the Whickham cohort.
| Â | Â | n | Model | Whickham | Difference | Diff 95%CI | Significant difference? P = |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Â | Total | 1391 | 75.0% | 75.4% | 0.4% | -1.6%, 2.4% | 0.764 |
Sex | Men | 676 | 70.0% | 71.3% | 1.3% | -1.7%, 4.2% | 0.402 |
| Â | Women | 715 | 79.8% | 79.3% | -0.5% | -3.2%, 2.3% | 0.747 |
Age | 35–50 | 783 | 63.1% | 63.1% | 0.0% | -3.2%, 3.1% | 0.976 |
| Â | >50 | 608 | 58.4% | 58.2% | -0.2% | -3.9%, 3.5% | 0.914 |
Smoking status | Smokers | 709 | 68.4% | 69.4% | 1.0% | -2.0%, 4.1% | 0.525 |
| Â | Non-smokers | 683 | 81.9% | 81.7% | -0.3% | -2.9%, 2.3% | 0.849 |
Total cholesterol | TC >= 7.5 | 170 | 68.3% | 65.3% | -3.0% | -9.6%, 3.6% | 0.447 |
|  | TC 5.5–7.4 | 827 | 75.2% | 76.4% | 1.2% | -1.4%, 3.7% | 0.447 |
| Â | TC < 5.5 | 284 | 77.6% | 75.1% | -2.5% | -9.0%, 4.0% | 0.338 |
Systolic BP | BP >= 180 | 95 | 55.6% | 40.4% | -15.2% | -24.4%, -5.9% | 0.006 |
|  | BP 160–179 | 180 | 63.3% | 66.1% | 2.8% | -3.3%, 9.0% | 0.458 |
|  | BP 115–159 | 1000 | 77.7% | 78.7% | 1.0% | -1.3%, 3.3% | 0.467 |
| Â | BP < 115 | 115 | 86.1% | 89.7% | 3.5% | -1.9%, 9.0% | 0.259 |
Diabetes | Diabetic | 9 | 71.4% | 55.6% | -15.8% | -43.6%, 12.0% | 0.413 |
| Â | Non-diabetic | 1382 | 75.0% | 75.5% | 0.4% | -1.6%, 2.5% | 0.729 |