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Table 4 Odds ratios for ACS for two hypothetical patients, A and B, used as examples. Patient A is female, 72 years old, and seeks emergency care with ongoing chest discomfort that has lasted for 7 hours. She has undergone CABG previously and has had angina pectoris in connection with physical effort the last month. The ECG shows an elevation of the ST-amplitude above 200 in lead V2 only. Patient B is male, 35-year old, and with chest discomfort for the last 72 hours but without any ST-elevations according to the ECG.

From: A simple statistical model for prediction of acute coronary syndrome in chest pain patients in the emergency department

 

Model Estimate

Patient A

OR

Patient B

OR

Baseline odds for ACS

0.0163

 

0.00163

 

0.00163

Odds ratios

     

   Age (no. of years above 40)

1.031

72

1.03132

35

1.031-5

   Hypertension

1.7

No

1.0

No

1.0

   Angina pectoris ≤ 1 month

4.1

Yes

4.1

No

1.0

   Congestive heart failure

0.48

No

1.0

No

1.0

   Previous myocardial infarction

 

No

1.0

No

1.0

Yes, ≤ 6 months

2.7

    

Yes, > 6 months

2.1

    

No

1.0

    

   Previous CABG

0.23

Yes

0.23

No

1.0

   Chest discomfort at presentation

1.9

Yes

1.9

Yes

1.9

   Symptom duration

 

7 hours

2.8

72 hours

1.0

0 – 6 h

3.8

    

7 – 12 h

2.8

    

> 12 h

1.0

-

   

   I-STamp

 

No

1.0

No

1.0

I-STamp > 50 and I-STamp38 > I-STamp

2.4

    

   aVF-STamp

 

No

1.0

No

1.0

aVF-STamp>100 and aVF-STamp38>aVF-STamp

9.4

    

aVF-STamp < -100 and aVF-STamp38 < aVF-STamp

4.1

    

None of above

1.0

    

   V2-STamp

 

> 200

3.4

No

1.0

V2-STamp > 200 and V2-STamp38 > V2-Stamp

3.4

    

100 < V2-STamp ≤ 200 and V2-STamp38 > V2-STamp

1.6

    

V2-STamp < -100 and V2-STamp38 < V2-STamp

2.6

    

None of above

1.0

-