Table 5 Predictive performance of the simplified model for an extended testing data (COVID-19 confirmed cases during 1 May–9 Aug 2020), which was supplemented to this study when the manuscript was revised in mid-August 2020
Simplified model* (based on 7 features) | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
On Day 1 of admission | On Day 5 of admission# | |||||
Predicted class | Predicted class | |||||
Critical/serious | Stable | Satisfactory | Critical/serious | Stable | Satisfactory | |
Actual class | ||||||
Critical/serious | 187 | 13 | 23 | 207 | 7 | 9 |
Stable | 227 | 1389 | 62 | 187 | 1480 | 11 |
Satisfactory | 7 | 0 | 1076 | 18 | 0 | 1065 |
Sensitivity | ||||||
By outcome class | 83.9% | 82.8% | 99.4% | 92.8% | 88.2% | 98.3% |
Macro averaged | 88.9% | 92.2% | ||||
Micro averaged | 88.9% | 92.2% | ||||
Specificity | ||||||
By outcome class | 91.5% | 99.0% | 95.5% | 92.6% | 99.5% | 98.9% |
Macro averaged | 97.2% | 98.8% | ||||
Micro averaged | 94.4% | 96.1% | ||||
Accuracy | 88.9% | 92.2% | ||||